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Will Stanley Leavell be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

activeEnds 3/17/2026View on Polymarket

Current Prices

Yes
0.1%
No
99.9%
0%25%50%75%100%3/10 18:003/10 18:003/10 18:003/10 18:003/10 18:00
Yes 0%
No 100%

AI Forecast

Refreshing — showing last available forecast. Auto-refresh in 30s.
HIGH confidenceMODELclaude-sonnet-4-6
No
99.8%-0.1%
Yes
0.2%+0.1%

Reasoning

Ballotpedia explicitly states that Stanley Leavell 'will not appear on the ballot for the Democratic primary.' The primary is scheduled for March 17, 2026. The frontrunner is Alexi Giannoulias, Illinois Secretary of State, who is a well-known and well-funded candidate. Leavell appears to be a minor candidate who failed to qualify for the ballot, making it essentially impossible for him to become the Democratic nominee.

Key Factors

  • Ballotpedia explicitly states Leavell will not appear on the Democratic primary ballot
  • Alexi Giannoulias is the frontrunner with significant name recognition and resources
  • Multiple other candidates are competing in the Democratic primary
  • Leavell appears to be a minor candidate without significant support or funding

Sources (3)

Generated 2026-03-10T18:56:37.826Z · v1

This report is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Prediction market participation carries risk of loss. Polyforecast is not affiliated with Polymarket. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.