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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

activeEnds 5/31/2026View on Polymarket

Current Prices

Yes
100.0%
No
0.0%
0%25%50%75%100%5/306/16/26/46/5
Yes 100%
No 0%

AI Forecast

Baseline fallback: this snapshot mirrors market pricing because the model provider failed for that cycle.
Refreshing — showing last available forecast. Auto-refresh in 30s.
LOW confidenceBASELINEProvider errorbaseline:provider_error
No
0.1%0.0%
Yes
100.0%0.0%

Reasoning

Insufficient validated evidence for model forecast. Returning current market baseline probabilities.

Key Factors

  • Fallback to baseline due to insufficient or invalid evidence/model output.

Generated 2026-05-09T18:02:01.891Z · v1

This report is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Prediction market participation carries risk of loss. Polyforecast is not affiliated with Polymarket. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.