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Total Kills Over/Under 43.5 in Game 2?

activeEnds 3/14/2026View on Polymarket

Current Prices

Over
99.5%
Under
0.5%
0%25%50%75%100%3/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:00
Over 100%
Under 1%

AI Forecast

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HIGH confidenceMODELclaude-sonnet-4-6
Over
99.5%0.0%
Under
0.5%0.0%

Reasoning

The baseline probabilities are extremely skewed toward 'Over' at 99.5%, suggesting this market has already resolved or there is very strong evidence that the total kills in Game 2 exceeded 43.5. The MarketAhead snippet references this specific market (TES vs WE, 2026-02-28, Game 2) and notes it resolves to 'Over' if total kills are 44 or more. The extremely high baseline probability of 0.995 for Over indicates the market has essentially resolved or the outcome is near-certain. Without contradicting evidence, the baseline probabilities should be maintained.

Key Factors

  • Baseline probability of 99.5% for Over strongly suggests market has resolved or outcome is near-certain
  • LoL games between TES and WE typically feature high kill counts, making 43.5 a relatively low threshold
  • MarketAhead specifically references this TES vs WE Game 2 market with the same parameters

Sources (1)

Generated 2026-03-13T20:47:19.587Z · v1

This report is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Prediction market participation carries risk of loss. Polyforecast is not affiliated with Polymarket. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.