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Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 2?

activeEnds 3/14/2026View on Polymarket

Current Prices

Over
99.5%
Under
0.5%
0%25%50%75%100%3/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:00
Over 100%
Under 1%

AI Forecast

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LOW confidenceMODELclaude-sonnet-4-6
Over
89.5%-10.0%
Under
10.5%+10.0%

Reasoning

The baseline probability strongly favors Over (99.5%), suggesting the market has already resolved or has very strong evidence pointing to Over. However, the evidence provided is mostly general information about over/under betting mechanics and references to similar markets, with no specific game data for this particular match. The 38.5 kill threshold in Dota 2 or LoL games is relatively achievable - most competitive games at high levels tend to have significant kill counts. Without specific game result data, I'm moderating the probability somewhat from the extreme baseline, but still heavily favoring Over given the baseline signal and the general tendency for competitive MOBA games to exceed 38.5 total kills.

Key Factors

  • Baseline probability of 99.5% for Over suggests strong market consensus or resolved outcome
  • 38.5 kills is a moderate threshold for competitive MOBA games (Dota 2/LoL)
  • No specific game result data available in evidence
  • Similar markets referenced suggest this is a common market type with typical resolution patterns

Sources (2)

Generated 2026-03-13T20:47:38.165Z · v1

This report is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Prediction market participation carries risk of loss. Polyforecast is not affiliated with Polymarket. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.