Current Prices
AI Forecast
Reasoning
The baseline probabilities are extremely skewed toward 'Under' (99.55% vs 0.45% for Over). In Dota 2, 59.5 kills is an extremely high threshold for a single game. Typical Dota 2 professional matches average around 30-50 total kills, making 60+ kills a rare occurrence. The baseline probability of 0.45% for Over strongly suggests this market has already resolved or the threshold is set very high relative to typical game outcomes. The evidence confirms this is a Dota 2 kill total market with the standard resolution criteria.
Key Factors
- •59.5 kills is an extremely high threshold for Dota 2 professional matches
- •Typical Dota 2 pro games average 30-50 total kills, making 60+ very rare
- •Baseline probability of 0.45% for Over strongly indicates market consensus
- •Market appears to be for a specific match (Pari vs Tundra, March 11, 2026)
Sources (2)
Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 1? - PolyTrends
This market will resolve to 'Over' if the total kills in Game 1 is 60 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to 'Under'.
Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 1? - Market Ahead
is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to 'Over' if the total kills in Game 1 is 60 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to 'Under'.
Generated 2026-03-13T20:45:53.030Z · v1
This report is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Prediction market participation carries risk of loss. Polyforecast is not affiliated with Polymarket. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.