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Total Kills Over/Under 52.5 in Game 1?

activeEnds 3/14/2026View on Polymarket

Current Prices

Over
10.0%
Under
90.0%
0%25%50%75%100%3/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:00
Over 10%
Under 90%

AI Forecast

Refreshing — showing last available forecast. Auto-refresh in 30s.
HIGH confidenceMODELclaude-sonnet-4-6
Over
10.0%0.0%
Under
90.0%0.0%

Reasoning

The baseline probabilities strongly favor 'Under' at 90.05% vs 'Over' at 9.95%. A total kills line of 52.5 in a single LoL or Dota2 game is extremely high. In professional League of Legends, average kills per game typically range from 25-35, making 53+ kills very rare. In Dota2, kill totals can be higher but 53+ in a single game is still uncommon. The evidence from MarketAhead confirms this is a kills-based market for a single game, and the baseline probability of ~10% for Over reflects the rarity of such high-kill games. Without specific game result data, the baseline probabilities appear well-calibrated for this type of market.

Key Factors

  • 52.5 kills is an extremely high threshold for a single professional esports game
  • Average professional LoL/Dota2 games typically have 25-40 total kills
  • The 90% baseline for Under reflects historical rarity of 53+ kill games
  • No specific game result evidence available to adjust from baseline

Sources (2)

Generated 2026-03-13T20:45:01.092Z · v1

This report is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Prediction market participation carries risk of loss. Polyforecast is not affiliated with Polymarket. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.