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Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?

activeEnds 3/14/2026View on Polymarket

Current Prices

Over
10.0%
Under
90.0%
0%25%50%75%100%3/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:00
Over 10%
Under 90%

AI Forecast

Refreshing — showing last available forecast. Auto-refresh in 30s.
LOW confidenceMODELclaude-sonnet-4-6
Over
10.0%0.0%
Under
90.0%0.0%

Reasoning

The evidence provided does not contain specific information about the game in question (the market ID suggests a LoL or similar esports game). The baseline probabilities strongly favor Under (90.05%) vs Over (9.95%), suggesting that 48.5 kills is a very high threshold for a single game. In League of Legends, typical professional games average around 25-35 kills total, making 48.5 kills an exceptionally high bar. The baseline probabilities appear well-calibrated for this type of market. Without specific team or match data, I defer to the baseline probabilities.

Key Factors

  • 48.5 kills is an extremely high threshold for a single LoL professional game
  • Average professional LoL games typically have 25-35 total kills
  • Strong baseline probability favoring Under (90.05%) reflects the rarity of 49+ kill games
  • No specific match data available to adjust from baseline

Sources (1)

Generated 2026-03-13T20:44:40.602Z · v1

This report is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Prediction market participation carries risk of loss. Polyforecast is not affiliated with Polymarket. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.

Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1? | Polyforecast