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Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?

activeEnds 3/14/2026View on Polymarket

Current Prices

Over
10.0%
Under
90.0%
0%25%50%75%100%3/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:00
Over 10%
Under 90%

AI Forecast

Refreshing — showing last available forecast. Auto-refresh in 30s.
HIGH confidenceMODELclaude-sonnet-4-6
Over
5.0%-5.0%
Under
95.0%+5.0%

Reasoning

The BPM market shows Under at 100% and Over at 0%, strongly indicating the game has already been played and resolved Under 46.5 kills. The baseline probabilities also heavily favor Under (90.05% vs 9.95%), which aligns with typical LoL game kill totals rarely reaching 47+. The BPM evidence showing 100% Under is the strongest signal that this market has resolved or is very likely to resolve Under.

Key Factors

  • BPM market shows Under at 100% probability, strongly suggesting resolution or near-certain outcome
  • Baseline probability already heavily favors Under at 90.05%, consistent with typical LoL kill totals
  • 46.5 kills is an extremely high threshold for a single LoL game

Sources (2)

Generated 2026-03-13T20:44:09.798Z · v1

This report is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Prediction market participation carries risk of loss. Polyforecast is not affiliated with Polymarket. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.