Total Kills Over/Under 44.5 in Game 1?

Reasoning

The baseline probabilities strongly favor Under (90.05%) vs Over (9.95%) for total kills over/under 44.5 in a LoL game. This is consistent with typical LoL game statistics where 44.5 total kills is a relatively high threshold. In professional LoL matches, the average total kills per game typically ranges from 25-35, making 44.5 kills a high bar to clear. The evidence from Vistadex shows similar markets (43.5 and 44.5 kill totals) resolving to Under at 100¢, suggesting these high kill thresholds rarely get hit. The baseline probabilities appear well-calibrated for this type of market, and without specific game outcome data, I defer to the established baseline.

Key Factors

• •Professional LoL games typically average 25-35 total kills, making 44.5 a high threshold
• •Similar markets on Vistadex show Under resolving at 100¢ for comparable kill totals
• •The 90% baseline for Under aligns with historical LoL kill distribution data