← Dashboard

Total Kills Over/Under 41.5 in Game 1?

activeEnds 3/14/2026View on Polymarket

Current Prices

Over
47.5%
Under
52.5%
0%25%50%75%100%3/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:00
Over 48%
Under 53%

AI Forecast

Refreshing — showing last available forecast. Auto-refresh in 30s.
LOW confidenceMODELEscalatedclaude-opus-4-6
Over
47.0%-0.5%
Under
53.0%+0.5%

Reasoning

This appears to be a League of Legends or similar esports total kills market for a specific Game 1 matchup. The evidence references a LoL match (WB vs IG, 2026-02-25) and a Dota 2 match (1win vs PR1, 2026-01-29) with the same 41.5 kill line. Without specific team information, meta context, or historical kill averages for the teams involved, I rely primarily on the baseline probabilities. A 41.5 kill line in esports is typically set near the expected median, and the slight lean toward Under in the baseline (0.525) is consistent with bookmaker tendencies to shade unders slightly in kill totals markets. The market has likely already occurred (dated Feb 25, 2026, and current date is March 13, 2026), but without resolution data, I maintain near-baseline estimates with a very slight Under lean.

Key Factors

  • No specific team matchup or historical kill data available to deviate significantly from baseline
  • 41.5 kill line suggests a moderately high-action game expected by the bookmaker
  • Baseline already slightly favors Under, consistent with typical esports totals market behavior

Sources (2)

Generated 2026-03-13T20:43:18.636Z · v1

This report is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Prediction market participation carries risk of loss. Polyforecast is not affiliated with Polymarket. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.