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Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 1?

activeEnds 3/14/2026View on Polymarket

Current Prices

Over
99.5%
Under
0.5%
0%25%50%75%100%3/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:003/13 20:00
Over 100%
Under 1%

AI Forecast

●Refreshing — showing last available forecast. Auto-refresh in 30s.
HIGH confidenceMODELclaude-sonnet-4-6
Over
99.5%0.0%
Under
0.5%0.0%

Reasoning

The baseline probabilities are extremely skewed toward 'Over' at 99.5%, suggesting this market has already resolved or there is very strong evidence that the total kills exceeded 38.5. The MarketAhead snippet mentions 'Game 1 is never' which appears to be a truncated statement, but the baseline probability of 0.995 for Over strongly indicates the game resulted in 39+ kills. In professional LoL matches between top-tier teams like JDG and TES, high kill counts are common, and a threshold of 38.5 is relatively low for a competitive match between aggressive teams. The evidence strongly supports maintaining the baseline probabilities.

Key Factors

  • •Baseline probability of 99.5% for Over strongly suggests market resolution or near-certain outcome
  • •JDG vs TES are high-tier LPL teams known for aggressive playstyles with high kill games
  • •38.5 kills is a relatively achievable threshold in professional LoL matches between top teams

Sources (1)

Total Kills Over/Under 38.5 in Game 1? - Market Ahead

This market will resolve to 'Over' if the total kills in Game 1 is 39 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to 'Under'

Generated 2026-03-13T20:46:38.028Z · v1

This report is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Prediction market participation carries risk of loss. Polyforecast is not affiliated with Polymarket. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.